Ashland 
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 88.0019
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
214 N Quincy GLVC ( 7- 8, 85.6) 20-11
226 A Lock Haven PSAC ( 9- 8, 90.2) 9-13
302 A CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountai ( 2-12, 82.7) 17-13
305 A Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 9- 6, 89.3) 10-16
308 H Davenport GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.3) 10-11
310 H Daemen East Coast ( 5-11, 85.4) 20-12
315 H Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 11-13
318 H Gannon PSAC ( 5-12, 86.4) 15- 8
319 H Lake Erie Great Midwest ( 2-15, 76.6) 21- 3
322 H Ursuline Great Midwest ( 0-10, 69.3) 23- 2
327 A Thomas More Great Midwest ( 5-14, 80.6) 22- 7
331 H Maryville GLVC (18- 1, 96.5) 9-21
405 A Tiffin Great Midwest ( 8- 8, 79.8) 21- 3
410 H Walsh Great Midwest ( 9- 9, 85.4) 19-10
412 H Malone Great Midwest ( 6- 7, 79.1) 16- 2
416 A Northwood Great Midwest ( 5- 9, 77.8) 23- 6
419 A Findlay Great Midwest ( 9-11, 83.4) 12-11
501 H Thomas More Great Midwest ( 5-14, 80.6) 21- 7
503 H Findlay Great Midwest ( 9-11, 83.4) 20- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 N Quincy 20-11 9 2 + 2.55
226 A Lock Haven 9-13 -4 -3 -1.25
302 A CSU-Pueblo 17-13 4 5 -0.73
305 A Colorado-Colorado Spri 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.12
308 H Davenport 10-11 -1 1 - -2.28
310 H Daemen 20-12 8 3 1.83
315 H Grand Valley State 11-13 -2 -3 1.31
318 H Gannon 15- 8 7 2 + 2.89
319 H Lake Erie 21- 3 18 12 0.00
322 H Ursuline 23- 2 21 19 0.00
327 A Thomas More 22- 7 15 7 0.00
331 H Maryville 9-21 -12 -8 0.00
405 A Tiffin 21- 3 18 8 0.00
410 H Walsh 19-10 9 3 1.87
412 H Malone 16- 2 14 9 0.00
416 A Northwood 23- 6 17 10 0.00
419 A Findlay 12-11 1 4 - -3.05
501 H Thomas More 21- 7 14 8 0.00
503 H Findlay 20- 3 17 5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 A Colorado-Colorado Spri 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.12
308 H Davenport 10-11 -1 1 - -2.28
419 A Findlay 12-11 1 4 - -3.05
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 N Quincy 20-11 9 2 + 2.55
318 H Gannon 15- 8 7 2 + 2.89
|
Ashland Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
 
| Adelphi |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Alabama-Huntsville |
American International |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
Assumption |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Barton |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Ashland |
Belmont Abbey |
Belmont Abbey |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Belmont Abbey |
Bentley |
Bentley |
|
 
| Bentley |
Bloomsburg |
Bloomsburg |
|
 
| Bloomsburg |
Bridgeport |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Caldwell |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Catawba |
Ashland |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Ashland |
Charleston |
Ashland |
|
Ashland   7- 0 vs 5- 2 |
|
Chestnut Hill |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Chowan |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Coker |
Ashland |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Ashland |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
 
| |
Concordia-St Paul |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) |
Ashland |
Converse |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
CSU-Pueblo |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
D'Youville |
Ashland |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Ashland |
Daemen |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Davenport |
Davenport |
Davenport |
 
| |
Davis & Elkins |
Ashland |
|
Ashland   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
District of Columbia |
Ashland |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Ashland |
Dominican (CA) |
Dominican (CA) |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Dominican (CA) |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Dominican (NY) |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
East Stroudsburg |
Edinboro |
Ashland |
|
Ashland   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Ashland |
Emory & Henry |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Felician |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Findlay |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Flagler |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
 
| Florida Southern |
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
 
| Florida Tech |
Fort Lewis |
Ashland |
|
Ashland   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Franklin Pierce |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Gannon |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Georgian Court |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
 
| |
Holy Family |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Indiana (PA) |
Indiana (PA) |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Indiana (PA) |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Indianapolis |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Lake Erie |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Lander |
Lander |
|
 
| Lander |
Lee |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Ashland |
Lees-McRae |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lewis |
Ashland |
|
Ashland   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
 
| Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Lock Haven |
Lock Haven |
Lock Haven |
 
| |
Lynn |
Lynn |
|
 
| Lynn |
Malone |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Mars Hill |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Maryville |
Maryville |
Maryville |
 
| |
McKendree |
Ashland |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) |
Ashland |
Mercy |
Mercy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Mercy |
Millersville |
Millersville |
|
 
| Millersville |
Missouri Western |
Missouri Western |
|
tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) |
Missouri Western |
Molloy |
Molloy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Molloy |
Montevallo |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Ashland |
Mount Olive |
Mount Olive |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Mount Olive |
New Haven |
New Haven |
|
 
| New Haven |
Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
North Greenville |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) |
Northern Michigan |
Northwood |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Pace |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
|
 
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Post |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Quincy |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
|
Regis (CO)   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Roberts Wesleyan |
Roberts Wesleyan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Rockhurst |
Rollins |
Rollins |
|
 
| Rollins |
Saginaw Valley State |
Ashland |
|
Ashland   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Seton Hill |
Shepherd |
Shepherd |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Shepherd |
Shippensburg |
Shippensburg |
|
 
| Shippensburg |
Shorter |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Slippery Rock |
Southern Connecticut |
Southern Connecticut |
|
 
| Southern Connecticut |
Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
|
 
| Southern New Hampshire |
Southern Wesleyan |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
St Anselm |
St Leo |
St Leo |
|
 
| St Leo |
St Michaels |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Ashland |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Ashland |
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Tampa |
Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas More |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Tiffin |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
Tusculum |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Ashland |
Ursuline |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
UVA Wise |
UVA Wise |
|
 
| UVA Wise |
Virginia State |
Ashland |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Ashland |
Walsh |
Ashland |
Ashland |
 
| |
West Chester |
West Chester |
|
 
| West Chester |
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Ashland |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Ashland |
Westminster (UT) |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Ashland |
Wheeling |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Ashland |
William Jewell |
Ashland |
|
tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) |
Ashland |
Wilmington (DE) |
Wilmington (DE) |
|
 
| Wilmington (DE) |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
 
| Wingate |
Young Harris |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
PowerWise = 55

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 N Quincy ( 7- 8, 85.6) 20-11 -14.35 16.83 -0.00 0.85 14.32
0 A Lock Haven ( 9- 8, 90.2) 9-13 -9.71 21.48 0.55 0.85 -7.78
0 A CSU-Pueblo ( 2-12, 82.7) 17-13 -17.18 14.00 0.55 0.85 12.38
0 A Colorado-Color ( 9- 6, 89.3) 10-16 -10.57 20.61 0.55 0.85 -8.52
0 H Davenport ( 9- 8, 87.3) 10-11 -12.63 18.55 -0.55 0.85 -11.21
0 H Daemen ( 5-11, 85.4) 20-12 -14.51 16.67 -0.55 0.85 13.71
0 H Grand Valley S (15- 3, 91.9) 11-13 -8.03 23.15 -0.55 0.85 -7.30
0 H Gannon ( 5-12, 86.4) 15- 8 -13.46 17.72 -0.55 0.85 14.61
0 H Lake Erie ( 2-15, 76.6) 21- 3 -23.35 7.83 -0.55 0.85 6.19
0 H Ursuline ( 0-10, 69.3) 23- 2 -30.64 1.00 -0.55 0.85 0.38
0 A Thomas More ( 5-14, 80.6) 22- 7 -19.33 11.85 0.55 0.85 10.55
0 H Maryville (18- 1, 96.5) 9-21 -3.45 27.73 -0.55 0.85 -3.40
0 A Tiffin ( 8- 8, 79.8) 21- 3 -20.08 11.10 0.55 0.85 9.92
0 H Walsh ( 9- 9, 85.4) 19-10 -14.47 16.71 -0.55 0.85 13.74
0 H Malone ( 6- 7, 79.1) 16- 2 -20.77 10.41 -0.55 0.85 8.38
0 A Northwood ( 5- 9, 77.8) 23- 6 -22.11 9.07 0.55 0.85 8.19
0 A Findlay ( 9-11, 83.4) 12-11 -16.50 14.68 0.55 0.85 12.96
0 H Thomas More ( 5-14, 80.6) 21- 7 -19.33 11.85 -0.55 0.85 9.61
0 H Findlay ( 9-11, 83.4) 20- 3 -16.50 14.68 -0.55 0.85 12.02
------
108.72
|
winning pts = 146.9442 losing points = -38.2252
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------